Mystery trader buys all Europe's cocoa - Telegraph

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The purchase was enough to move the entire global cocoa market, sending the price to the highest level since 1977, and triggering rumours and intrigue in the City. It is unclear which person, or group of traders, was behind the deal, but it was the largest single cocoa trade for 14 years. The cocoa beans, which are sitting in warehouses either in The Netherlands, Hamburg, or closer to home in London, Liverpool or Humberside is equivalent to the entire supply of the commodity in Europe, and would fill more than five Titanics. They are worth £658 million. Analysts said it was very unlikely that a chocolate company, such as Nestle or Kraft, or even their suppliers, would buy such a huge order in one go and that is was probable that one or a number of speculators, possibly hedge funds, had attempted to corner the market. By doing this, they would have control of the entire supply in Europe, forcing the price yet higher. Eugen Weinberg, an analyst with Commerzbank, said: “For one buyer it would likely be a little bit too large. It would be a crazy number. That said, if you’re cornering the market ...” “If it looks like cornering, feels like cornering and the price difference between Europe and the US is so large, it probably is cornering.” “There is some play taking place. No one really knows what is going on.” Andreas Christiansen, president of the German Cocoa Trade Association, said the “hefty” price move was “a mirror of what can be done if people control the physical stock”. Cocoa prices, which had been on the rise this year, rose 0.7 per cent yesterday, to £2,732 per metric ton. By contrast, cocoa being traded on the US exchange fell. This is the highest price for cocoa in Europe since 1977, and comes after a series of weak harvests in Ghana and the Ivory Coast, the main areas where the crop is grown. Fears of floods in the Ivory Coast have sent prices even higher, as speculators have bet on another poor harvest, and a shortage of supply. At the same time demand is on the increase, especially as China and India develop an ever sweeter tooth. Cocoa prices have more than doubled since 2007, forcing chocolate makers to raise prices and in some cases to change recipes to use less cocoa. Laurent Pipitone, senior statistician at the International Cocoa Organisation in London, said: “In the past two years, all companies have increased prices." There are fears that the extraordinary activity on the commodity markets will filter down to higher prices on the shop shelves for the nation's favourite chocolate bars, even milk chocolate, which has only 25 per cent cocoa content. The trade took place on the London International Financial Futures and Options Exchange (Liffe), a market which trades contracts in commodities such as corn, wheat, sugar, coffee and cocoa. Most of these contracts are "options" or "futures" giving a trader the right to buy these commodities at a certain price at a certain time in the future. What made yesterday's trade so unusual was that the mystery buyer or buyers took physical delivery of the commodity. The beans will be stored in one of Liffe's warehouses in Amsterdam, Antwerp, Bremen, Felixstowe, Hamburg, Humberside, Le Havre, Liverpool, London, Rotterdam, or Teesside. There have been mounting worries that speculators have been distorting the cocoa market in recent weeks, with brokers writing a letter of protest to Liffe earlier this month. Barbara Crowther, a spokesman at the Fairtrade Foundation, said that no farmers in West Africa would benefit from the higher prices. She said: "This speculation only serves to increase volatility and uncertainty. Part of the problems in rent years have been the lack of investment in improving cocoa farms. But the farmers have already been paid a set price – none of this money will filter down to them."

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Quote:

Barbara Crowther, a spokesman at the Fairtrade Foundation, said that no farmers in West Africa would benefit from the higher prices. She said: "This speculation only serves to increase volatility and uncertainty. Part of the problems in rent years have been the lack of investment in improving cocoa farms. But the farmers have already been paid a set price – none of this money will filter down to them."

Here's a fundamental problem. The principle of market economy is that if prices for a commodity go up, supply increases. But while prices have gone up, none of that increase has filtered back to suppliers

Market economies are fine for rich countries, but might give ideas above their station to poor ones.

Originally Posted by roadkill

Here's a fundamental problem. The principle of market economy is that if prices for a commodity go up, supply increases. But while prices have gone up, none of that increase has filtered back to suppliers Market economies are fine for rich countries, but might give ideas above their station to poor ones.

you fail to account for the inevitable time delay....the supply would increase because cacao growers would plant more fields/orchards....which would have to grow to maturity, be harvested, etc.......and in this instance said fields may never be planted if the growers suspect the source of the increased demand......

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