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But like i said, regardless of the odds of being correct on all 7 tosses being 1/128 the odds of picking the winning game an 8th time are still 50/50. Many people dont seem to realise this.

This is right. While news reports have described Paul as "psychic", in the absence of a plausible explanation as to how he does this it is reasonable to expect 50:50 - although Paul was still right on the final, when Paul tipped Spain to beat Netherlands.

A factor that I have not seen discussed is that, if Paul's success is due to subtle clues put into his food choices by his owner, how has his owner clocked up such a record?

Originally Posted by roadkill

A factor that I have not seen discussed is that, if Paul's success is due to subtle clues put into his food choices by his owner, how has his owner clocked up such a record?

Easy that. He asked Paul, on which side to place the tasty octopus treats.

As someone in the Metro suggested, can we put Paul the Octopus in charge of the economy?

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Easy that. He asked Paul, on which side to place the tasty octopus treats.

You are so right and I must be slipping. I never thought of that.