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Old 08-09-11, 01:57 PM
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Solar Company Failure Shows That Less Federal Aid Can Work Better: View - Bloomberg

Solar Company Failure Shows That Less Federal Aid Can Work Better: View
By the Editors Sep 8, 2011


The worst and best of U.S. government policy on solar energy has been on display lately. In a cringe-worthy failure, California solar-panel maker Solyndra filed for bankruptcy this week, just two years after winning $535 million of federal loan guarantees.

Solyndra’s rapid rise and fall should have played out entirely in the private sector. Silicon Valley is thick with venture capitalists willing to finance risky, iconoclastic startups.
Indeed, Solyndra raised a staggering $1.1 billion from private sources since its founding in 2005. The extra federal support ended up having the well-intentioned but unfortunate effect of allowing the company to ramp up manufacturing quickly, even as evidence was emerging that it had badly misread the changing economics of the solar-panel market.

A few years ago, prices for the silicon wafers used in most flat-panel solar systems were soaring. Solyndra proposed building an entirely different panel, using tubes coated with thin films of copper-indium-gallium-selenide that would pick up light from any direction.
Solyndra predicted that its tubes would be far cheaper than the silicon alternative. No such luck. Silicon prices have plunged nearly 90 percent from their peak in 2008, making conventional panels the better bargains.

Solyndra now blames its cost disadvantage on the Chinese government’s willingness to subsidize its solar-panel industry. So have two other U.S. solar companies that went belly up in recent weeks, Evergreen Solar Inc. (ESLR) and SpectraWatt Inc. Such complaints sound petulant, given that all three companies benefited from Washington’s support. The truth, as Anthony Kim of Bloomberg New Energy Finance puts it, is that “the technology did not work as well or as cheaply as hoped.”

A day after Solyndra’s failure, it was heartening to see the Department of Energy award a total of $145 million to 69 solar energy projects taking place inside universities, government research labs and major corporations. Many of those grants are for as little as $750,000 apiece, and none is larger than $13 million. Each targets a current impediment to cheaper solar power -- and then provides initial support for a dozen or more different ideas that might lead to breakthroughs.

Steering small amounts of money to many early-stage researchers is the best way for government to operate. Misfires don’t cost much. Successes can be huge. Private-financing alternatives are patchy at best, because these researchers’ ideas might not pay off for a decade or more. The benefits of this sort of pioneering government support can be seen in the Defense Department’s early work on computer networks, which helped make the Internet possible.

Solyndra’s stumbles, on the other hand, underscore how poorly governments fare when they try too hard to pick industrial winners.

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Apart from the industrial economics point, what interests me here is how Marxists would approach this case.

From my pov, workers in Solyndra got paid from 2005 till 2011 while their work, ultimately, went on to be worth zero (or thereabout - bankruptcy liquidation value, to be fair). While the equity owners and lenders got either wiped out or saw their claims slashed.

It seems labour ended up ahead of capital from 2005 till 2011...
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Old 08-09-11, 07:32 PM
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Well, I'm not sure that makes any sense, as a question. It's like asking how a doctor would approach leeching.

All that happened was that an enterprise failed. Some capitalist investors ware down a bit of money, but they are still not as badly off as the workers are and remain, unless they are totally wiped out. And then tyhey're only reduced to the same satus as workers, not wortse off than them.

In what way was labour "ahead"? They got paid for being there and doing their work, and that's all. They didn't personally profit; it wouldn't matter to them whether they worked for this or another company. They still created more wealth than they got to keep.

It seems to be a particular kind of ideological perversity to present this as some sort of triumph for labour.
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Old 08-09-11, 07:59 PM
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Originally Posted by contracycle View Post
All that happened was that an enterprise failed. Some capitalist investors ware down a bit of money...
Assumption but...

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In what way was labour "ahead"? They got paid for being there and doing their work...
Yes exactly.

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it wouldn't matter to them whether they worked for this or another company.
Yes exactly. They got paid regardless.

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They still created more wealth than they got to keep.
No! Because they didn't create any wealth! As proven by the fact that equity went to zero. They got paid but they didn't create any wealth...

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It seems to be a particular kind of ideological perversity to present this as some sort of triumph for labour.
Well, this is a bit tongue in cheek but look at it this way - After 5 years, Labour (L) is up, whatever, 100. While Kal is down at least 100 (Labour costs) + whatever else they had to invest and they got nil to show for it.

Labour up, Kal down. It's a victory for Labour!

All Labour got to do is go work for the next company etc etc until they retire or until Kal run out of investment opportunities.

And the more serious point is that, if you want Labour to participate in the uplift of equity, Labour is going to have to take some risks.

Say, if Labour had only taken 80 in salary and gotten a 20 as equity investment and Solyndra had been a tremendous success then, poof, suddenly, Labour would have been rich beyond their wildest dreams...
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Old 08-09-11, 08:27 PM
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Originally Posted by Gilles de Rais View Post
Yes exactly.
In what way is this "exactly"?

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Yes exactly. They got paid regardless.
Because they did the worlk. Are you saying they should have worked for free?

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No! Because they didn't create any wealth! As proven by the fact that equity went to zero. They got paid but they didn't create any wealth...
Nope. You're confusing price with value again.

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Well, this is a bit tongue in cheek but look at it this way - After 5 years, Labour (L) is up, whatever, 100. While Kal is down at least 100 (Labour costs) + whatever else they had to invest and they got nil to show for it.
Nope. Kal has to pay workers to be there as recompense for the opportunity cost of working on this job as ooposed to another job. And in fact those workers still have to bear some opportunity costs, because if they had been working at a more succesful firm they would have possibly accumulated pay rises, promotions or seniority, whereas now they are back to square one - hoping to be lucky enough to be chosen by a capitalist to be exploited.

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All Labour got to do is go work for the next company etc etc until they retire or until Kal run out of investment opportunities.
All labour got to do is work their whole lives and have nothing to show for it. Whoop-de-fucking-do. Just call me a slave and have done with the fiction.

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And the more serious point is that, if you want Labour to participate in the uplift of equity, Labour is going to have to take some risks.
Labour takes much more risk than any capitalist, becuase they could easily end up on the bread line while capitalsits just end up a bit out of pocket.

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Say, if Labour had only taken 80 in salary and gotten a 20 as equity investment and Solyndra had been a tremendous success then, poof, suddenly, Labour would have been rich beyond their wildest dreams...
Neither here nor there. Labour earning equity is precisely what I argue for and you oppose. A=OE+L, again. Rock hard fact, that.
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Old 09-09-11, 09:34 AM
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Originally Posted by contracycle View Post
Because they did the worlk. Are you saying they should have worked for free?
I thought you said that failure was possible in your system if you were producing goods nobody wanted?

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Nope. You're confusing price with value again.
Here, they seem pretty related - No one is willing to pay for those solar systems they produced hence they went kaputt.

Again, I thought failure was possible under your system?


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Nope. Kal has to pay workers to be there as recompense for the opportunity cost of working on this job as opposed to another job. And in fact those workers still have to bear some opportunity costs, because if they had been working at a more succesful firm they would have possibly accumulated pay rises, promotions or seniority, whereas now they are back to square one - hoping to be lucky enough to be chosen by a capitalist to be exploited.
I don't see how that contradicts what I said. L lived 5 years on the foolishness of K. They may have worked for a more successful company or even not found work. But either way, L invoiced K during 5 years and K got nothing to show for its investment...


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Labour takes much more risk than any capitalist, becuase they could easily end up on the bread line while capitalists just end up a bit out of pocket.
Maybe I shouldn't tease you with this stuff. But, in any case, what you're saying is true only if you assume that all entrepreneurs are the rich offspring of some previous rich capitalists. The fact of the matter is that many first-generation entrepreneurs are not 'rich capitalists' and failure will cost them heavily. It is not unknown for entrepreneurs to mortgage their home to try and get a company going. If the company goes bust, they lose that too...


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Neither here nor there. Labour earning equity is precisely what I argue for and you oppose. A=OE+L, again. Rock hard fact, that.
Actually, I totally agree that Labour should have a bigger equity stake. All I am pointing out and that you sometimes avoid is that 1- we can't dispossess the present equity holders on the basis of long ago crimes committed by their ancestors (maybe) and 2- equity returns can be pretty volatile. Ask Lehman and Enron employees. Those were two firms with a strong equity culture...

OTOH, as I said before, if you're lucky enough to pick working for Microsoft in the late 70s, early 80s, today, you're laughing - As I think I've heard some of the then PAs are doing...
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Old 09-09-11, 10:02 AM
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Originally Posted by Gilles de Rais View Post
I thought you said that failure was possible in your system if you were producing goods nobody wanted?
Yes, but this isn't my system, becuase its divided between workers and capitalists. I don't know what you want me to say about it.

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I don't see how that contradicts what I said. L lived 5 years on the foolishness of K. They may have worked for a more successful company or even not found work. But either way, L invoiced K during 5 years and K got nothing to show for its investment...
Too bad. They got the labour they paid for. They have nothing to complain about. The workers didn't get any say in what the company did or how it was run. They aren't "ahead" and whether or not the capitalist was "foolish" is frankly none of their business, and they'll be told as much if they are foolish enough to venture an opinion.

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Maybe I shouldn't tease you with this stuff. But, in any case, what you're saying is true only if you assume that all entrepreneurs are the rich offspring of some previous rich capitalists. The fact of the matter is that many first-generation entrepreneurs are not 'rich capitalists' and failure will cost them heavily. It is not unknown for entrepreneurs to mortgage their home to try and get a company going. If the company goes bust, they lose that too...
How am I being "teased"? So the worst case scenario is that they go back to being workers. Why should I care? Why should I feel that they have lost in some greater way? Just because you buy a lottery ticket doesn't mean you have the right to expect some sort of compensation if you don't win.

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Actually, I totally agree that Labour should have a bigger equity stake. All I am pointing out and that you sometimes avoid is that 1- we can't dispossess the present equity holders on the basis of long ago crimes committed by their ancestors (maybe) and 2- equity returns can be pretty volatile. Ask Lehman and Enron employees. Those were two firms with a strong equity culture...
1) we CAN disposess them because they dispossess us every day, and 2) applies to the way capitalist business works. What YOU keep avoiding is that my system doesn't work like yours; you keep trying to map it to present practices 1:1 which is of course pointless.

Last edited by contracycle; 09-09-11 at 10:12 AM.
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Old 10-09-11, 03:13 AM
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Originally Posted by contracycle View Post
Yes, but this isn't my system, becuase its divided between workers and capitalists. I don't know what you want me to say about it.
I want you to recognise that entrepreneurs are taking equity risk while workers aren't... And that workers may not be so keen on it once they see the lottery aspect of it...

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They have nothing to complain about. The workers didn't get any say in what the company did or how it was run.
Fair enough but is it your argument that the employees would have known better than management that silicon panels were about to get cheap and so they should not invest the way they did...

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How am I being "teased"?
Because you care deeply about this stuff while I am just trying to point out some limitation of Marxist theory but I am not really hoping to convince you and I don't mind - I just like arguing?

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So the worst case scenario is that they go back to being workers. Why should I care? Why should I feel that they have lost in some greater way?
Because, you know, counting pennies and pounds, they did lose more?

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and 2) applies to the way capitalist business works. What YOU keep avoiding is that my system doesn't work like yours; you keep trying to map it to present practices 1:1 which is of course pointless.
How are you going to avoid some products failing into your utopia?

Let's imagine that Solyndra had 100 employees and they all got 1% equity, from CEO to cleaner for a 10h day work (we'll leave asides the inanity that says 1h of CEO time is the same thing as 1h of cleaner time). Let's further assume they all got savings to see them through the ramp up period where Solyndra is running nothing but loses.

It certainly is fair - They'd all lose the same amount when Solyndra went bust. But if someone takes the equity risk (and so you got 10 partners with 10% each and the rest are employees drawing a salary) then surely it's fair those partners get the upside too? They eat the cost, they east the losses, surely, fairness dictates they keep the gains, IF ANY.

Many employees who would want to buy a lottery ticket can do so, in reality. Most people don't because, intuitively, they know the odds suck... 95% of start ups go bust within 5 years...
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Old 10-09-11, 07:49 AM
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Originally Posted by Gilles de Rais View Post
I want you to recognise that entrepreneurs are taking equity risk while workers aren't... And that workers may not be so keen on it once they see the lottery aspect of it...
No, not even slightly. Capitalists are like gangsters who steal $100 from us, and then force us to take a $100 loan at punitive interest rates for fear of starving. Then you want to claim the "natural justice" of us being required to pay interest? Fuck that.

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Fair enough but is it your argument that the employees would have known better than management that silicon panels were about to get cheap and so they should not invest the way they did...
Not necessarily but seeing as they weren't incliuded they cannot be held responsible. They did exactly what they were paid to do; the delivered on their side of the bargain. They have not benefitted at anyones expense, and to present it as if they did is to resort to utter fiction.

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Because you care deeply about this stuff while I am just trying to point out some limitation of Marxist theory but I am not really hoping to convince you and I don't mind - I just like arguing?
What I care about is intellectual honesty. And what annoys me about this is that you don't engage with it seriously. There are no "limitations" here becuase the theory is perfectly correct; you just never realise that because the only theory you will accept is one that duplicates capitalism. Your dogma is too thick for me to penetrate.

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Because, you know, counting pennies and pounds, they did lose more?
But of course, each penny and each pound is worth proportionally less to them the more they have. Lets say, for example, some capitalist lost 80% of their wealth in some investment. Well so the fuck what, I lose that every fucking month paying for rent and food and electricity. So no, capitalists very seldom lose as much as workers do, and on the rare occasions that it happens, they just get brought down to the same status as the vast majority of us. Cry me a river.

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How are you going to avoid some products failing into your utopia?
I said nothing of the sort. And I have just said to you that my system doesn't work like yours. "Products failing" isn't nearly as big a deal in the first place, because its not a system in which people compete to overproduce worthless shit.

[quote]Let's imagine that Solyndra had 100 employees and they all got 1% equity, from CEO to cleaner for a 10h day work (we'll leave asides the inanity that says 1h of CEO time is the same thing as 1h of cleaner time). [/';quote]

There is NOTHING inane about that. It's perfectly reasonable and fair.

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It certainly is fair - They'd all lose the same amount when Solyndra went bust. But if someone takes the equity risk (and so you got 10 partners with 10% each and the rest are employees drawing a salary) then surely it's fair those partners get the upside too?
That would only be true if the rest of us "chose" not to take that risk, rather than having been robbed blind by our employers and therefore being unable to take it. So no, not at all.

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Many employees who would want to buy a lottery ticket can do so, in reality. Most people don't because, intuitively, they know the odds suck... 95% of start ups go bust within 5 years...
Stop stealing the wealth we create, and then we can talk about what people will contribute. When their labour is paid only at its replacement cost, the risk they are taking is substantially greater: again, a capitalist perhaps loses a few zeros off their bank account, a worker ends up homeless and starving. These risks are not equivalent.
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Old 15-09-11, 11:54 AM
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Originally Posted by contracycle View Post
No, not even slightly. Capitalists are like gangsters who steal $100 from us, and then force us to take a $100 loan at punitive interest rates for fear of starving. Then you want to claim the "natural justice" of us being required to pay interest? Fuck that.
So, again - Before they were multinationals behemoths, they were tiny corner shops... Someone had to create them....

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They did exactly what they were paid to do; the delivered on their side of the bargain.
Yes.

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They have not benefitted at anyones expense, and to present it as if they did is to resort to utter fiction.
I phrased them in a taunting fashion but, as I said, they're up (and, if they saved, they might even be the next bunch of entrepreneurs/capitalists) while this round's capitalists/entrepreneurs are down and maybe out...

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There are no "limitations" here becuase the theory is perfectly correct...
- Historical materialism is often quoted as an issue with the theory. But I personally don't mind it that much.
- Labour Theory of Value. One hour from X is not equal to one hour from Y, beyond productivity, whatever Marx says. If people want the product produced by X more than they want the product by Y, it doesn't matter how many hours X or Y put into their respective products. Supply and demand, baby.
- Law of diminishing profits. It's empirically false and fail to take into account the risk part of the risk-reward ratio, as far as I recall.

Etc... Give me more time and we can drill down those. But that should suffice for the time being.


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You just never realise that because the only theory you will accept is one that duplicates capitalism. Your dogma is too thick for me to penetrate.
I could just as easily say the same about you. My personal take is that Marxism is flawed (see above) and that other theories explain better what is going on. Furthermore, from the political pov, I tend to prefer them as they require minor adjustments (on a theoretical level, they're pretty big adjustments in practice) to the status quo.


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Lets say, for example, some capitalist lost 80% of their wealth in some investment. Well so the fuck what, I lose that every fucking month paying for rent and food and electricity.
But many entrepreneurs are ex-workers who saved and then used their eggnest to borrow money from banks. While they employ people who they sometimes pay well enough so that they save and then, if the venture fails, the first entrepreneur is back down to starvation worker status while his employees may have progressed so far as to be able to become entrepreneurs too, should they wish to.

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"Products failing" isn't nearly as big a deal in the first place, because its not a system in which people compete to overproduce worthless shit.
Right. And it may be true that some Native American entrepreneur who see his last attempt at introducing zebra-ed pants pathetically fail doesn't lose much. He had plenty of free time anyhow so all he may have to do is hunt a bit more in the next few days to catch up with Nawakeye in the next wigwam...

OTOH, I think that when you use technology to reduce workload rather than to increase surpluses, societies tend to stagnate as a result.

Which is not good if you enjoy technological goodies such as internet and healthcare...

Another way of saying "worthless shit" is only worthless to you. Clearly, some people are willing to pay for it and because they did so for hundreds of years, we are now where we are.

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There is NOTHING inane about that. It's perfectly reasonable and fair.
It's like saying that Sculley, Spindler and Amalio were as good as Steve Jobs. I keep using this example because 1- I am not a student of CEOs careers and 2- CEOs may not be all that relevant in many cases but Apple case does demonstrate they CAN be. To pretend that Sculley or Amalio deserved to be paid as much as Steve Jobs because they put in the same amount of time at work is patently ridiculous.


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That would only be true if the rest of us "chose" not to take that risk, rather than having been robbed blind by our employers and therefore being unable to take it. So no, not at all.
So that's a good point. But, one, you can try and work for specific companies. Indeed, these days, it's mostly small-medium companies recruiting in the West so you can and try to negotiate some equity stake of some sort into an early venture. Two, you can also work as an independent consultant - "eat what you kill" kinda stuff and/or create your own company.

Few people want to be entrepreneur not because they really are lacking the funds (long term unemployed have founded companies, with state help and cash generative, work intensive businesses have been a long standing favourite starting block for many immigrant families, the world over) but because it's damn hard work with precious little chance of working out - i.e. you will easily end up out of pocket compared to salaried work or even compared to doing nothing...
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Old 15-09-11, 03:17 PM
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bump coz the system seems to not take my last post into account...
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